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What If: Super Bowl Simulations
Category: NFL
Tags: Patriots Giants

So, I'm a glutton for punishment.  Super Bowl XLII proved to me that ANYTHING can happen.  Can you say "David Tyree?"  Back then, all of the computer models had the Patriots winning...and winning pretty big.  In the simulations in which the Giants won, it was because of smothering defense in a low scoring game.  They didn't say it couldn't happen, they just said it was not likely to happen.  Guess what?  It happened.

So, I went back to WhatIfSports and decided to run a few simulations of the big game.  First, though, I went to Fairy Tale land.  

Billy Cundiff makes his ill-fated Field Goal attempt to bring the AFC Championship into overtime, where the Ravens advance to the Super Bowl

In my 1 simulation of a Giants/Ravens superbowl, the Ravens win 32-26.  

To play make believe just a little more, let's just pretend Kyle Williams held onto the ball just enough for the 49ers to advance.  They too would've been beaten by the Ravens in my simulation, 14-12.  

Baltimore fans, it seems had the Ravens advanced - they would be holding the trophy next Sunday night in the world according to Mo.

For you 49ers fans, though, you need to cut Mr. Williams some slack - as noted above, they would've barely lost to the Ravens, but in my 1 simulation, they lost again the Patriots 37-30.  

So, WhatIfSports runs a gob of simulations, tallies them and gives a thumbnail of the game.  In their simulations, New England wins 55% of the time by an average of 27 - 25.   My 1 simulation of the game had New England winning 48-42.  I stopped at 1 simulation with that score - not going to jinx myself.    I thought it would be pretty cool to see how everyone else's simulations work out.  Go to http://www.whatifsports.com/beyondtheboxscore/default.asp?article=2011NFL_SuperBowlXLVI and simulate the game.  

Be honest: run the sim once and post the score.   

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